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Fed decision in Sep 2026? · Fed maintains rate 70% (+1pp) — Kalshi odds
markets
·
Economy
open
trade on
↗
event
5 outcomes
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
·
Economy
·
ends Dec 16, 2026
F
vol cum
$15.6M
vol 24h
$406.8k
outcomes
5
ends
Dec 16, 2026
outcomes
click to inspect →
F
Fed maintains rate
70¢
▲ 1.0
pp
H
Hike 25bps
31¢
· 0.0
pp
C
Cut 25bps
1¢
▼ 1.0
pp
C
Cut >25bps
1¢
· 0.0
pp
H
Hike >25bps
1¢
· 0.0
pp
market
selected outcome
Fed maintains rate
rank #1
United States
F
70¢
▲ 1.0
pp
24h change
vol cum
$6M
vol 24h
$117.7k
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 16, 2026
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened
· Sep 29, 2025
open
closes
· Dec 16, 2026
Fed maintains rate · prices over time
24h
7d
30d
all
−24h
now
volume · by outcome
hover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Cut 25bps
3
¢
· 0.0
pp
Fed maintains rate
72
¢
· 0.0
pp
Hike 25bps
23
¢
▼ 1.0
pp
+2 others
$10.4k 24h · 5 markets
predict
Fed Decision in September?
No change
70
¢
▲ 1.5
pp
25 bps decrease
3
¢
▲ 0.1
pp
25 bps increase
29
¢
▲ 0.1
pp
+2 others
$23.6k 24h · 5 markets
opinion
U.S. Fed Decision in September?
No change
76
¢
· 0.0
pp
50+ bps decrease
—
25 bps decrease
—
+2 others
$33 24h · 5 markets
manifold
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
yes
46
¢
· 0.0
pp
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshi
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Cut 25bps
6
¢
▲ 1.0
pp
Fed maintains rate
61
¢
▼ 4.0
pp
Hike 25bps
36
¢
▲ 5.0
pp
+2 others
$918 24h · 5 markets
predict
Fed rate hike in 2026?
yes
56
¢
▼ 0.2
pp
$6.5k 24h · 1 market
+6 more