What is the current probability for "What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?": Central Bank 91%, Good Day 90%, Productivity 89% (top 3 of 46 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFEDMENTION-26SEP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event46 outcomes

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?

·Mentions·ends Sep 17, 2026

vol cum

$148.7k

vol 24h

$13.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 46

marketselected outcome

Central Bank

rank #1

United States

91¢

▼ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.8k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 17, 2026

If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Central Bank at his Sep 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Sep 17, 2026

Central Bank · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history