What is the current probability for "What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year?": Pena 98%, Fausto 86%, Ulana 16% (top 3 of 32 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/8/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01CPAC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event32 outcomes

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year?

·Climate and Weather·ends Dec 8, 2026

vol cum

$32.4k

vol 24h

$10.6k

outcomes

ends

Dec 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 32

marketselected outcome

Pena

rank #1

98¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$47

vol 24h

spread

0.05

ends

Dec 8, 2026

If a storm named Pena is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 15, 2026opencloses · Dec 8, 2026

Pena · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history