What is the current probability for "What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year?": Iona 96%, Nolo 19%, Olana 16% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/8/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01CPAC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year?

·Climate and Weather·ends Dec 8, 2026

vol cum

$47

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Dec 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Iona

rank #1

96¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.97

ends

Dec 8, 2026

If a storm named Iona is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 15, 2026opencloses · Dec 8, 2026

prices over time · Iona highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history