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Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?

Kalshi·Politics
United StatesRussia

As of 10:00 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?” at 3% (-4pp in 24h). The market has $1 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

3%
▼ 4.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$19k
vol 24h
$1
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 3¢
No 97¢

If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Announcements that it will begin offering direct flights within the year is also encompassed.

timeline
opened · Dec 3, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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