What is the current probability for "Which G7 leader will leave next?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Which G7 leader will leave next?": Keir Starmer 100%, Emmanuel Macron 0%, Donald Trump 0% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/1/2045.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event7 outcomes

Which G7 leader will leave next?

·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2045

vol cum

$111.1k

vol 24h

$2.6k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2045

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

Keir Starmer

rank #1

United Kingdom

100¢

▲ 0.9pp

24h change

vol cum

$35.2k

vol 24h

$554

spread

0.02

ends

Jan 1, 2045

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 23, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2045

Keir Starmer · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history