What is the current probability for "US GDP growth in Q3 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "US GDP growth in Q3 2026?": Above 1.0% 77%, Above 1.5% 74%, Above 2.0% 51% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/29/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGDP-26OCT30. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event4 outcomes

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

·Economy·ends Jan 29, 2027

vol cum

$604

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 29, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Above 1.0%

rank #1

United States

77¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$145

vol 24h

spread

0.08

ends

Jan 29, 2027

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 24, 2026opencloses · Jan 29, 2027

Above 1.0% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history