What is the current probability for "Gold price on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Gold price on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?" are Above $3990 92%, Above $4000 89%, Above $4010 83% — 13 of 40 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGOLDD-26AUG0417. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.