What is the current probability for "Gold price on September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Gold price on September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?" are Above $4250 94%, Above $4260 93%, Above $4270 93% — 4 of 40 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGOLDD-26SEP1417. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event40 outcomes

Gold price on September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

·Commodities·ends Sep 21, 2026

vol cum

$12k

vol 24h

$12k

outcomes

ends

Sep 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 40

marketselected outcome

Above $4150

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 21, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4150 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 11, 2026opencloses · Sep 21, 2026

Above $4150 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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