What is the current probability for "Gold price on September 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Gold price on September 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?" are Above $4238 80%, Above $4258 78%, Above $4278 78% — 6 of 40 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 23, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGOLDD-26SEP1617. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event40 outcomes

Gold price on September 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

·Commodities·ends Sep 23, 2026

vol cum

$13.1k

vol 24h

$11.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 40

marketselected outcome

Above $4138

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$552

vol 24h

$552

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 23, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4138 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2026opencloses · Sep 23, 2026

Above $4138 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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