What is the current probability for "Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET" are Above $4425.99 8%, Above $4427.99 5% — 23 of 40 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 7, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGOLDH-26AUG3101. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event40 outcomes

Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET

·Commodities·ends Sep 7, 2026

vol cum

$15.5k

vol 24h

$15.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 40

marketselected outcome

Above $4379.99

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 7, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT is above 4379.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 31, 2026closedresolved · Aug 31, 2026

Above $4379.99 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.