Question 1

What is the current probability for "Gold price on July 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET?"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Gold price on July 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET?" are Above $4013.99 91%, Above $4021.99 89%, Above $4019.99 88% — 3 of 40 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 7/22/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGOLDH-26JUL1504. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Gold price on July 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET?

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