What is the current probability for "Gold price on July 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Gold price on July 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET?" are Above $4025.99 84%, Above $4027.99 38%, Above $4029.99 8% — 10 of 40 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/23/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGOLDH-26JUL1602. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.