What is the current probability for "Gold price on October 06, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Gold price on October 06, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET" are Above $4123.99 93%, Above $4119.99 84%, Above $4121.99 84% — 2 of 51 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXGOLDH-26OCT0600. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event51 outcomes

Gold price on October 06, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET

·Commodities·ends Oct 13, 2026

vol cum

$11.1k

vol 24h

$11.1k

outcomes

ends

Oct 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 51

marketselected outcome

Above $4125.99

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.8k

vol 24h

$1.8k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 13, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 06, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT is above 4125.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 6, 2026closedresolved · Oct 6, 2026

Above $4125.99 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history