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Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
·Elections·ends Feb 6, 2027vol cum
$2.2k
vol 24h
$2.2k
outcomes
6
ends
Feb 6, 2027
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Above 10%
rank #1
United States
50¢
▲ 50.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$400
vol 24h
$400
spread
0.45
ends
Feb 6, 2027
If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Sep 16, 2026opencloses · Feb 6, 2027
Above 10% · prices over time
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