What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026?": 91° or below 44%, 92° to 93° 30%, 94° to 95° 22% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/23/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHCHI-26JUL16. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 23, 2026

vol cum

$10.4k

vol 24h

$10.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

91° or below

rank #1

United States

44¢

▲ 26.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$957

vol 24h

$957

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 23, 2026

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 16, 2026, is less than 92° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 15, 2026opencloses · Jul 23, 2026

91° or below · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history