What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in LA on Jul 17, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in LA on Jul 17, 2026?": 81° or above 99%, 73° to 74° 1%, 75° to 76° 1% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/24/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHLAX-26JUL17. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in LA on Jul 17, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 24, 2026

vol cum

$280.5k

vol 24h

$268k

outcomes

ends

Jul 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

81° or above

rank #1

United States

99¢

▲ 66.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$142.4k

vol 24h

$138.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 24, 2026

If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 17, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 80°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 16, 2026opencloses · Jul 24, 2026

81° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history