What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 14, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 14, 2026?": 84° or below 45%, 85° to 86° 42%, 87° to 88° 13% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/21/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHNY-26AUG14. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 14, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 21, 2026

vol cum

$11.4k

vol 24h

$11.4k

outcomes

ends

Aug 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

84° or below

rank #1

45¢

▲ 9.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$5k

vol 24h

$5k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 21, 2026

If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City for Aug 14, 2026, is less than 85° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 13, 2026opencloses · Aug 21, 2026

84° or below · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history