What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 7, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 7, 2026?": 74° or below 92%, 75° to 76° 8%, 77° to 78° 2% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/14/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHNY-26JUL07. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 7, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 14, 2026

vol cum

$14.2k

vol 24h

$14.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

74° or below

rank #1

United States

92¢

▲ 11.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.2k

vol 24h

$6.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 14, 2026

If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 07, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 75°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 6, 2026opencloses · Jul 14, 2026

74° or below · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history