What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 18, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 18, 2026?": 79° to 80° 46%, 78° or below 34%, 81° to 82° 17% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/25/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHNY-26JUL18. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 18, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 25, 2026

vol cum

$18.2k

vol 24h

$17.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 25, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

79° to 80°

rank #1

United States

46¢

▲ 13.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.1k

vol 24h

$3k

spread

0.03

ends

Jul 25, 2026

If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 18, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 17, 2026opencloses · Jul 25, 2026

79° to 80° · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history