What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 21, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 21, 2026?": 78° or below 57%, 79° to 80° 28%, 81° to 82° 12% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHNY-26JUL21. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 21, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$40.7k

vol 24h

$40k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

78° or below

rank #1

United States

57¢

▲ 22.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$12.1k

vol 24h

$12k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 21, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

78° or below · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history