What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 21, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 21, 2026?": 98° or above 99%, 90° to 91° 1%, 92° to 93° 1% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 28, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHTDAL-26SEP21. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 21, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 28, 2026

vol cum

$103.5k

vol 24h

$97.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

98° or above

rank #1

United States

99¢

▲ 66.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$19.9k

vol 24h

$18.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 28, 2026

If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 21, 2026, is greater than 97° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 20, 2026opencloses · Sep 28, 2026

98° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history