What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 21, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 21, 2026?": 83° or above 47%, 79° to 80° 16%, 81° to 82° 16% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHIGHTSFO-26JUL21. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 21, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$19.9k

vol 24h

$19.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

83° or above

rank #1

United States

47¢

▼ 7.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.3k

vol 24h

$2.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 21, 2026, is greater than 82° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

83° or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history