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event2 outcomes

Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Mar 7, 2027

As of 20:37 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, “Ashley Hinson” leads “Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?” on Kalshi at 61% (+12pp in 24h), followed by “Roger Marshall” at 51%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has $9.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$9.9k
vol 24h
$9.9k
outcomes
2
ends
Mar 7, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Ashley Hinson
rank #1
United States
61¢
▲ 12.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$6.9k
vol 24h
$6.9k
spread
0.06
ends
Mar 7, 2027

If Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election minus Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 22, 2026opencloses · Mar 7, 2027
Ashley Hinson · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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