What is the current probability for "Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)": Above 5 95%, Above 10 12%, Above 15 4% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Dec 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHORMUZPEAK-26SEP20. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event6 outcomes

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)

·Politics·ends Dec 21, 2026

vol cum

$71.6k

vol 24h

$13.7k

outcomes

ends

Dec 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

Above 5

rank #1

95¢

▲ 26.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$22.8k

vol 24h

$4.7k

spread

0.14

ends

Dec 21, 2026

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 11, 2026opencloses · Dec 21, 2026

Above 5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history