Question 1

What is the current probability for "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)" are Above 60 94%, Above 70 91%, Above 80 86% — 2 of 9 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 9/28/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUN28. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.