Question 1

What is the current probability for "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 8/24/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY24. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

Markets

Above 5

Above 10

Above 15

Above 20

Above 25

Above 30

Above 40

Above 50

Above 75

Above 100