pdatanews276
event9 outcomes

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Kalshi·Politics·ends Feb 1, 2027

As of 19:39 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)” on Kalshi are “Above 15” at 90%, “Above 50” at 1% (+1pp in 24h) and “Above 20” at 0%. The event has $4.1k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

vol cum
$4.1k
vol 24h
$4.1k
outcomes
9
ends
Feb 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Above 15
rank #1
90¢
▲ 90.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$600
vol 24h
$600
spread
0.03
ends
Feb 1, 2027

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 23, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2027
Above 15 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history