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event2 outcomes

TX-04 House winner?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 16:21 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “Pat Fallon” leads “TX-04 House winner?” on Kalshi at 96%, followed by “Jason Pearce” at 4% (+3pp in 24h), out of 2 outcomes. The event has $26 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi.

vol cum
$5.4k
vol 24h
$26
outcomes
2
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Pat Fallon
rank #1
United States
96¢
▼ 0.1pp
24h change
vol cum
$536
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.02
ends
Nov 3, 2027

If the House member sworn in for TX-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jan 7, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Pat Fallon · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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