Question 1

What is the current probability for "US housing starts for May"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "US housing starts for May" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 6/23/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHOUSINGSTART-26JUN16. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

US housing starts for May

Markets

Above 1.375M

Above 1.400M

Above 1.425M

Above 1.450M

Above 1.475M

Above 1.500M

Above 1.525M

Above 1.550M