Question 1

What is the current probability for "S&P price at year-end? "?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "S&P price at year-end? " from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

S&P price at year-end?

Markets

6,900 or above

7,200 or above

7,400 or above

7,300 or above

7,600 or above

7,500 or above

7,700 or above

7,900 or above

7,800 or above

8,000 or above

8,100 or above

8,200 or above

8,300 or above

8,500 or above

8,400 or above

7,000 or above

7,100 or above