What is the current probability for "How high will the S&P get this year?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "How high will the S&P get this year?" are 7,800 or above 91%, 8,000 or above 70%, 8,200 or above 41% — 3 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.