Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Kalshi·Finance

As of 08:45 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the S&P finish positive this year?” at 93% (+3pp in 24h). The market has $11.7k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.