Question 1

What is the current probability for "When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?" are Before Sep 28, 2026 86%, Before Sep 21, 2026 65% — 4 of 6 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 6/8/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18PRO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?

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