marketsingle market
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
Kalshi·Politics
Iran
As of 12:36 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?” at 3% (+1pp in 24h). The market has $3.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Opinion.
3%
▲ 1.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$331.2k
vol 24h
$3.8k
spread
0.01
ends
May 30, 2027
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Mar 1, 2026opencloses · May 30, 2027
