Will Ben-Gvir and Smotrich's parties submit a joint list?
If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Sep 10, 2026 that Otzma Yehudit and the Religious Zionist Party submit a joint candidate list for the 2026 Israeli Knesset election no later than September 8, 2026 at 10:00 PM Israel time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A technical joint list or a legally merged successor qualifies if the submitted list represents both parties, regardless of its name or additional participants. Announcements, agreements to submit a list, surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not qualify. The filing cutoff is fixed even if the official deadline is extended. Subsequent withdrawal or disqualification does not undo a qualifying submission.