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event3 outcomes

What kind of government will Israel form?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Jan 26, 2028

As of 18:13 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, “Majority government” leads “What kind of government will Israel form?” on Kalshi at 47% (+47pp in 24h), followed by “Minority government” at 29% (+4pp in 24h) and “No government” at 0%, out of 3 outcomes. The event has $402 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
$402
vol 24h
$402
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 26, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Majority government
rank #1
Israel
47¢
▲ 47.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$21
vol 24h
$21
spread
0.10
ends
Jan 26, 2028

If the number of Knesset seats held by the factions in Israel's next government is at least 61 when the Knesset approves it before Oct 28, 2027 (0 if it does not), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 6, 2026opencloses · Jan 26, 2028
Majority government · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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