What is the current probability for "Ortenblad Nogueira vs Carvalho"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ortenblad Nogueira vs Carvalho": Gabriel Augusto Carvalho 65%, Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira 35% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG03ORTCAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Ortenblad Nogueira vs Carvalho

·Sports·ends Aug 17, 2026

vol cum

$38.1k

vol 24h

$34.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Gabriel Augusto Carvalho

rank #1

65¢

▲ 65.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$20.7k

vol 24h

$20.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 17, 2026

If Gabriel Augusto Carvalho wins the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Carvalho professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Londrina Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 3, 2026opencloses · Aug 17, 2026

Gabriel Augusto Carvalho · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Ortenblad Nogueira vs Carvalho

·Sports·ends Aug 17, 2026

vol cum

$38.1k

vol 24h

$34.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Gabriel Augusto Carvalho

rank #1

65¢

▲ 65.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$20.7k

vol 24h

$20.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 17, 2026

If Gabriel Augusto Carvalho wins the Ortenblad Nogueira vs Carvalho professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Londrina Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 3, 2026opencloses · Aug 17, 2026

Gabriel Augusto Carvalho · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.