What is the current probability for "Sterniczuk vs Bienkiewicz"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Sterniczuk vs Bienkiewicz": Juliusz Bienkiewicz 73%, Oliwier Sterniczuk 30% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG04STEBIE. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Sterniczuk vs Bienkiewicz

·Sports·ends Aug 18, 2026

vol cum

$15.5k

vol 24h

$14.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Juliusz Bienkiewicz

rank #1

73¢

▲ 73.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.5k

vol 24h

$8.3k

spread

0.04

ends

Aug 18, 2026

If Juliusz Bienkiewicz wins the Sterniczuk vs Bienkiewicz professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Bielsko Biala Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 3, 2026opencloses · Aug 18, 2026

Juliusz Bienkiewicz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.