What is the current probability for "Nordquist vs Vales"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nordquist vs Vales": Amit Vales 98%, Arvid Nordquist 2% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG14NORVAL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nordquist vs Vales

·Sports·ends Aug 28, 2026

vol cum

$319.9k

vol 24h

$245k

outcomes

ends

Aug 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Amit Vales

rank #1

98¢

▲ 98.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$194.5k

vol 24h

$141.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 28, 2026

If Amit Vales wins the Nordquist vs Vales professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Turku Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 13, 2026opencloses · Aug 28, 2026

Amit Vales · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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