What is the current probability for "Castro vs De Armas"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Castro vs De Armas": Ignacio De Armas 99%, Leonel Cesar Castro 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG17CASDEA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Castro vs De Armas

·Sports·ends Aug 31, 2026

vol cum

$205.8k

vol 24h

$205.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ignacio De Armas

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$78.5k

vol 24h

$78.5k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 31, 2026

If Ignacio De Armas wins the Castro vs De Armas professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Asuncion Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 17, 2026closedresolved · Aug 17, 2026

Ignacio De Armas · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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