What is the current probability for "Alvarez Sarmiento vs Cervantes Tomas"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Alvarez Sarmiento vs Cervantes Tomas": Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 92%, Ian Lucca Cervantes Tomas 9% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/6/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG23ALVCER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Alvarez Sarmiento vs Cervantes Tomas

·Sports·ends Sep 6, 2026

vol cum

$23.1k

vol 24h

$15.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento

rank #1

92¢

▲ 92.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$15.4k

vol 24h

$9.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 6, 2026

If Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento wins the Alvarez Sarmiento vs Cervantes Tomas professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Oviedo Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 22, 2026opencloses · Sep 6, 2026

Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.