What is the current probability for "Fernandez Badia vs De Armas"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Fernandez Badia vs De Armas": Ignacio De Armas 93%, Agustin Fernandez Badia 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/8/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG25FERDEA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Fernandez Badia vs De Armas

·Sports·ends Sep 8, 2026

vol cum

$54.7k

vol 24h

$53.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ignacio De Armas

rank #1

93¢

▲ 93.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$19.7k

vol 24h

$19.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 8, 2026

If Ignacio De Armas wins the Fernandez Badia vs De Armas professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Mar Del Plata Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 24, 2026opencloses · Sep 8, 2026

Ignacio De Armas · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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