What is the current probability for "Plunger vs Amarandei"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Plunger vs Amarandei": Manuel Plunger 89%, Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 12% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/8/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG25PLUAMA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Plunger vs Amarandei

·Sports·ends Sep 8, 2026

vol cum

$10.9k

vol 24h

$10.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Manuel Plunger

rank #1

89¢

▲ 94.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.3k

vol 24h

$2.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 8, 2026

If Manuel Plunger wins the Plunger vs Amarandei professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Vienna Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 24, 2026opencloses · Sep 8, 2026

Manuel Plunger · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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