What is the current probability for "Cardinaud vs Polonskiy"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Cardinaud vs Polonskiy": Hugo Cardinaud 84%, Ilya Polonskiy 25% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG26CARPOL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Cardinaud vs Polonskiy

·Sports·ends Sep 9, 2026

vol cum

$348.4k

vol 24h

$252.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hugo Cardinaud

rank #1

84¢

▲ 84.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$293k

vol 24h

$216.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 9, 2026

If Hugo Cardinaud wins the Cardinaud vs Polonskiy professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Monastir Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 26, 2026opencloses · Sep 9, 2026

Hugo Cardinaud · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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