What is the current probability for "Villanueva vs Castro"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Villanueva vs Castro": Gonzalo Villanueva 89%, Leonel Cesar Castro 12% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG26VILCAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Villanueva vs Castro

·Sports·ends Sep 9, 2026

vol cum

$104.3k

vol 24h

$62.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Gonzalo Villanueva

rank #1

89¢

▲ 89.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.2k

vol 24h

$6.7k

spread

0.02

ends

Sep 9, 2026

If Gonzalo Villanueva wins the Villanueva vs Castro professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Mar Del Plata Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 25, 2026opencloses · Sep 9, 2026

Gonzalo Villanueva · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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