What is the current probability for "Ferguson vs Jiang"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ferguson vs Jiang": Chase Ferguson 79%, Fumin Jiang 23% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG27FERJIA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Ferguson vs Jiang

·Sports·ends Sep 11, 2026

vol cum

$21k

vol 24h

$12.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Chase Ferguson

rank #1

79¢

▲ 79.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.3k

vol 24h

$4.4k

spread

0.03

ends

Sep 11, 2026

If Chase Ferguson wins the Ferguson vs Jiang professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maanshan Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 27, 2026opencloses · Sep 11, 2026

Chase Ferguson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.