What is the current probability for "Te vs Ferguson"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Te vs Ferguson": Rigele Te 80%, Chase Ferguson 21% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG28TEXFER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Te vs Ferguson

·Sports·ends Sep 12, 2026

vol cum

$67.8k

vol 24h

$35.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Rigele Te

rank #1

80¢

▲ 80.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$31.1k

vol 24h

$14.5k

spread

0.02

ends

Sep 12, 2026

If Rigele Te wins the Te vs Ferguson professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Maanshan Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 28, 2026opencloses · Sep 12, 2026

Rigele Te · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.