What is the current probability for "Michalski vs Mashtakov"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Michalski vs Mashtakov": Daniel Michalski 81%, Nikita Mashtakov 29% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG29MICMAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Michalski vs Mashtakov

·Sports·ends Sep 12, 2026

vol cum

$12.8k

vol 24h

$11.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Daniel Michalski

rank #1

81¢

▲ 81.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.06

ends

Sep 12, 2026

If Daniel Michalski wins the Michalski vs Mashtakov professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Poznan Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 28, 2026opencloses · Sep 12, 2026

Daniel Michalski · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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