What is the current probability for "Paolini vs Morega"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Paolini vs Morega": David - Ioan Morega 90%, Andrea Paolini 15% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26AUG31PAOMOR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Paolini vs Morega

·Sports·ends Sep 14, 2026

vol cum

$357k

vol 24h

$256.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

David - Ioan Morega

rank #1

90¢

▲ 90.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$224.6k

vol 24h

$172.8k

spread

0.04

ends

Sep 14, 2026

If David - Ioan Morega wins the Paolini vs Morega professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Buzau Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 30, 2026opencloses · Sep 14, 2026

David - Ioan Morega · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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