What is the current probability for "Bastiaansen vs Gerch"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Bastiaansen vs Gerch": Pepijn Bastiaansen 90%, Lucas Gerch 16% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/15/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL01BASGER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Bastiaansen vs Gerch

·Sports·ends Jul 15, 2026

vol cum

$16.5k

vol 24h

$15.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Pepijn Bastiaansen

rank #1

90¢

▲ 90.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$8.5k

vol 24h

$7.7k

spread

0.05

ends

Jul 15, 2026

If Pepijn Bastiaansen wins the Bastiaansen vs Gerch professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Marburg Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 30, 2026opencloses · Jul 15, 2026

Pepijn Bastiaansen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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